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  • Nifty Bounce or Bull Trap? | Top Market Moves: SBI's $1B Loan, Samsung Tax Shock, Finance Bill 2025 & More

Nifty Bounce or Bull Trap? | Top Market Moves: SBI's $1B Loan, Samsung Tax Shock, Finance Bill 2025 & More

Also learn which are the 7 Behaviors That Reveal Low Emotional Intelligence

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Welcome Back Investor!

India recalibrates its trade game with the U.S., IndusInd Bank faces audit heat, SBI secures a landmark $1B loan, Samsung battles a massive tax demand, and the Finance Bill 2025 gets a green light.

Dive into the stories shaping your trades this week.

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Today’s Market Menu

  • Focal Point: Nifty's Short-Term Bounce Might Be a Trap!

  • Markets

  • Everything else you need to know today

  • Psychology: 7 Behaviors That Reveal Low Emotional Intelligence

  • Supercharge your Investing Skills with this Video

  • Stock Screener to up your game

FOCAL POINT

Nifty Short-Term Bounce Might Be a Trap!

According to Fibonacci time cycle theory, the Nifty may be poised for a short-term bounce rather than a full-fledged bull run. Experts caution traders to temper expectations as structural resistance zones loom. It’s a market phase for strategy, not celebration.

🔍 What Is the Fibonacci Time Cycle Theory?
▪️ A technical tool that uses Fibonacci numbers to predict time-based market reversals.
▪️ Analysts map these cycles to spot potential turning points in indices like Nifty.

📈 Current Market Signal from Fibonacci Cycle:
▪️ The Fibonacci cycle indicates a short-term upward move in the Nifty.
▪️ This is not the beginning of a new bull phase, but rather a temporary relief rally.

⚠️ Why Caution Is Key Right Now:
▪️The market is near historical resistance levels, especially around the 23,700–23,800 zone.
▪️ There’s a risk of trend reversal if the index fails to sustain above these levels.

📉 Structural Patterns & Chart Analysis:
▪️ Nifty has formed a bearish divergence on some momentum indicators.
▪️ Price action is approaching an overbought zone on the daily chart.

💡 What Traders Should Do:
▪️ Avoid aggressive long positions; this is a time to tighten stop losses.
▪️ Ideal for short-term swing trades, especially in stocks showing relative strength.
▪️ Wait for a clear breakout above 23,800 for confirmation of bullish continuation.

🔮 Outlook Ahead:
▪️ If resistance holds, a correction toward 23,300–23,200 is likely.
▪️ Breakout above 23,800 could trigger momentum buying—but that's conditional.

MARKETS

Stock markets saw a roller-coaster ride on March 25, 2025, as the BSE Sensex managed a marginal gain of 32.81 points to close at 78,017.19, while the Nifty 50 edged up just 10.30 points, finishing at 23,668.65. After a choppy session, traders saw a tug-of-war between bullish cues from IT heavyweights and profit booking in banking and metal counters.

Closing figures as on 25.03.25 (3.30pm IST)

 SENSEX

78,017.19

+0.04%

 NIFTY 50

23,668.65

+0.04%

🔻 NIFTY BANK

51,607.95

-0.19%

🔻 NIFTY Midcap 100

51,969.75

-1.06%

🔻 NIFTY Smallcap 100

16,108.90

-1.56%

🔎 In Focus

Sectorial Performance:

🔹 IT Stocks Take the Spotlight: The tech sector emerged as the day’s hero! With Infosys surging +2.44% and other IT majors following suit, the Nifty IT index jumped +1.32%, signaling strong investor confidence in digital and export-oriented plays amid global tech resilience.

🔹 Banking & PSU Stocks Under Pressure: Banking took a hit, particularly in the public sector space. The Nifty PSU Bank index tanked 🔻-1.73%, led by IndusInd Bank, which plummeted 🔻-4.84%, becoming the worst performer of the day. Private and public banks alike faced headwinds due to profit-taking and cautious investor sentiment.

🔹 UltraTech Cement Cemented Its Gains: The top gainer on the Nifty was UltraTech Cement, climbing +3.35% to ₹11,421.20, riding high on hopes of sustained infrastructure and construction demand.

🔹 Broader Market Trends: Midcap and smallcap indices witnessed mild corrections, reflecting a risk-off mood among retail investors despite positive cues in select sectors.

📰 What’s Driving the Market Mood?
While GIFT Nifty hinted at a positive start, global jitters, including renewed concerns over trade tariffs and interest rate path ambiguity from the Fed, kept traders on edge. Sectoral rotation was evident as investors booked profits in previous high-fliers and reallocated to tech and consumer defensives.

📈 What’s Next?
As we approach the fiscal year-end, markets are likely to stay range-bound with a stock-specific approach dominating. Eyes are now on global macro indicators, crude oil trends, and institutional flows to determine the next big breakout. ​

NIFTY 500: Doubts?

Source: TradingView

Promoter Action

Stocks where Promoters Bought from Open Market

Company

No. of Shares

Avg. Rate (Rs.)

Bcl Industries Limited

3,74,499

39.11

Bliss GVS Pharma Limited

1,00,000

121.12

Institutional Action

Provisional Net Figures (Rs. in Crores)

Institution

Buy

Sell

FII/FPI*

5,371.57

-

🔻DII

-

-2,768.87

Click here for detailed data.

FROM THE FRONTIER

Everything else you need to know today 

🛃 Trade Triumph: India is eyeing a bold tariff cut on $23 billion worth of U.S. imports to shield its $66 billion exports from possible American retaliatory tariffs. This move is part of New Delhi’s broader effort to strengthen trade ties with Washington while maintaining its global export edge. It could also position India more competitively in global supply chains.

🔍 Audit Alert: IndusInd Bank may face major repercussions as PwC, its external auditor, is set to submit a report highlighting financial discrepancies by Friday. The audit reportedly reveals provisioning lapses and internal control failures. This has sparked regulatory buzz and shaken investor confidence, triggering a sharp stock drop.

💰 Financial Feat: SBI has raised $1 billion via a syndicated loan - India’s largest bank loan of 2025 - with participation from over 30 global lenders. The successful raise underlines the country’s growing financial clout and signals global trust in India’s largest bank. It also opens doors for other Indian banks to tap foreign capital more aggressively.

⚖️ Tax Tussle: Samsung has been served a staggering ₹5,000 crore ($601 million) tax demand by Indian authorities over alleged misclassification of telecom imports. The dispute centers around component valuation practices and could escalate into a lengthy legal battle. This case highlights India’s intensifying scrutiny of multinational tax compliance.

📝 Legislative Leap: The Lok Sabha has passed the Finance Bill 2025 with 35 key amendments, including the removal of the 6% "Google Tax" on digital ads. With a ₹50.65 lakh crore spending plan and a reduced fiscal deficit target of 4.4%, the bill now heads to the Rajya Sabha for final approval.

📝 Order Wins

Kalpataru Projects International Ltd. (KPIL) has secured fresh orders worth ₹2,366 crores in Transmission & Distribution (including HVDC) and Buildings & Factories segments.
NBCC secures two major orders from UIIDB and C-DOT worth ₹658.43 crore, strengthening its foothold in smart city development and high-tech infrastructure management.
Engineers India Ltd. wins two international consultancy contracts in the Middle East valued at ₹730 crore, expanding its global reach in energy infrastructure.

ONEZERO-F ACADEMY

7 Behaviors That Reveal Low Emotional Intelligence

Emotional intelligence (EI) is more than just managing emotions - it’s the secret sauce behind strong relationships, career growth, and personal resilience. Yet, many people unknowingly engage in behaviors that reveal low EI, quietly sabotaging their own potential. These subtle signs often go unnoticed, creating friction in social and professional settings. Understanding these behaviors is the first step toward emotional mastery and deeper human connection.

1. Difficulty Accepting Criticism

🔹People with low emotional intelligence often react defensively or with denial when receiving feedback.
🔹Instead of processing it constructively, they may take it personally, feel attacked, or even retaliate emotionally.
🔹This hinders personal and professional growth, as criticism is a vital tool for learning and self-improvement.
🔹They might shut down during evaluations or refuse to engage in feedback conversations.

2. Struggling to Read Social Cues

🔹These individuals miss the subtle but powerful nonverbal signals — like body language, tone of voice, or facial expressions.
🔹They might interrupt frequently, dominate conversations, or say the wrong thing at the wrong time.
🔹Their inability to “read the room” often leads to awkward or strained social and workplace interactions.
🔹Others may perceive them as socially unaware, detached, or even insensitive.

3. Poor Impulse Control

🔹Reacting before thinking is a classic hallmark here — whether it’s blurting out inappropriate comments or making rushed decisions.
🔹Emotional outbursts, overspending, or abrupt actions without considering outcomes are common.
🔹This behavior can damage relationships, career progression, and self-trust over time.
Emotional regulation is a key component of EI — and poor control signals a clear gap.

4. Inability to Validate Others' Emotions

🔹People with low EI often struggle to empathize or even acknowledge what others feel.
🔹They might respond with dismissive comments like “you’re overreacting” or “it’s not a big deal,” invalidating genuine emotions.
🔹This lack of emotional support pushes people away and makes others feel unseen or misunderstood.
🔹It also reflects a deeper disconnection from one’s own emotional experience.

5. Lack of Self-Awareness

🔹These individuals rarely pause to consider how their behavior affects others.
🔹They might not notice when they’ve hurt someone’s feelings or come across as rude or aggressive.
🔹Without introspection, they struggle to grow emotionally or adapt in social situations.
Self-awareness is the foundation of emotional intelligence — its absence often leads to repetitive mistakes.

6. Holding Grudges

🔹Instead of resolving conflicts or moving on, they harbor resentment — sometimes for months or years.
🔹This emotional baggage can poison relationships and cloud future interactions with unnecessary tension.
🔹Forgiveness doesn’t mean forgetting, but releasing the emotional charge is essential for peace.
🔹High EI individuals choose empathy and growth over revenge or grudges.

7. Black-and-White Thinking

🔹Seeing everything as good or bad, right or wrong, friend or enemy — with no gray area.
🔹This rigid thinking leads to harsh judgments, quick dismissals, and difficulty adapting to nuanced situations.
🔹It can create unnecessary drama and conflict because of the inability to embrace complexity.
🔹Emotional intelligence involves cognitive flexibility — a skill low-EI individuals typically lack.

SOCIAL MEDIA SPEAKS

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