Modi-Trump Meet will decide the fate of Indian Stock Markets

Hello Investor!

PM Modi’s U.S. visit is packed with high-stakes trade, tech, and defense talks that could shake up Indian stock markets. Pharma, IT, and defense stocks may surge if key deals materialize, while stronger Indo-U.S. ties could boost India’s global investment appeal. Investors are on edge, waiting for market-moving announcements that could fuel a bullish rally across multiple sectors!

Stay tuned for key updates!

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• Focal Point: Modi Meets Trump in US

• Markets

• Everything else you need to know today

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FOCAL POINT

Modi Meets Trump in US: What it means for markets?

Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s strategic visit to Washington DC is set to have a significant impact on Indian stock markets, with investors closely tracking potential trade, technology, and defense agreements. Sectors such as IT, pharmaceuticals, agriculture, and defense are expected to see movement depending on the outcomes of high-level talks.

Key Sectors to Watch

1️⃣ Trade Agreements: A Boon for Pharma, IT & Agriculture Stocks

• Modi’s discussions with U.S. officials focus on reducing trade deficits and easing tariffs, a move that could open doors for Indian companies in the U.S. market.

• Potential market impact:

  • Pharma stocks such as Sun Pharma, Dr. Reddy’s, and Cipla could benefit from reduced restrictions on drug exports.

  • IT giants like TCS, Infosys, and Wipro stand to gain from improved outsourcing agreements.

  • Agriculture players like ITC and UPL could see stock price increases if trade barriers on agri-exports are eased.

✅Investor takeaway: Positive trade agreements could trigger a rally in export-driven stocks, boosting overall market sentiment.

2️⃣ Technology Transfer & Innovation: A Big Leap for Indian Tech Stocks

• Modi’s visit will likely reinforce the India-U.S. Initiative on Critical and Emerging Technologies (iCET), aimed at fostering tech partnerships in AI, semiconductors, and space exploration.

• Potential market impact:

  • Infosys, TCS, and Tech Mahindra could benefit from stronger U.S.-India collaboration in AI and cloud computing.

  • Indian semiconductor firms and startups could gain if India secures manufacturing partnerships with U.S. chipmakers.

  • Stock surge expected in tech sectors if concrete deals emerge from the visit.

✅Investor takeaway: Stronger Indo-U.S. tech collaborations could fuel long-term growth in India’s digital economy, driving tech stocks higher.

3️⃣ Defense Deals: A Golden Opportunity for HAL, Bharat Electronics & L&T

• With increasing global tensions, India aims to strengthen defense ties with the U.S., potentially securing contracts for defense procurement.

• Potential market impact:

  • Hindustan Aeronautics Limited (HAL) and Bharat Electronics may see order book expansions with new U.S. collaborations.

  • L&T Defense and Mazagon Dock Shipbuilders could gain if India secures deals for military hardware production.

  • The market could see a defense stock rally if major agreements materialize.

✅Investor takeaway: Defense stocks could surge on news of U.S. investment or technology-sharing agreements.

4️⃣ Geopolitical Stability: A Long-Term Win for India’s Economy

• Modi’s visit is expected to strengthen Indo-U.S. relations, creating a stable business environment for foreign investment.

• Potential market impact:

  • A strong stance on Indo-Pacific security and China containment could make India a more attractive FDI destination.

  • Banking and infrastructure stocks could gain as global investors increase exposure to India.

✅Investor takeaway: A stable geopolitical environment supports long-term stock market growth, making India a preferred investment hub.

The Indian stock market is poised for volatility as investors eagerly await updates from Washington. If Modi secures key trade, technology, or defense deals, expect a bullish rally, especially in IT, pharma, and defense stocks. However, uncertainty remains, as geopolitical complexities can influence market reactions in unexpected ways.

📊 Investor Strategy:
✔️ Watch for official announcements on trade pacts, tech transfers, and defense collaborations.
✔️ Track sector-specific movements in IT, pharma, defense, and agriculture stocks.
✔️ Be prepared for short-term volatility, but long-term opportunities in these sectors look promising.

_{*The names of the stocks mentioned are for informational & indicative purposes and do not constitute buy/sell recommendations}

MARKETS

_{Closing figures as on 13.02.25}

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INSTITUTIONAL ACTION

_{Provisional Figures (Rs. in Crores)}

FROM THE FRONTIER

Everything else you need to know today 

📈Volatility: The Sensex dropped 32 points to 76,138.97, while the Nifty 50 slipped 13.85 points to 23,031.40, marking seven straight days of losses. Financial stocks rallied, with Bajaj Finserv up 3%, while Adani Enterprises plunged 5%. The IT sector struggled after higher U.S. inflation data reduced hopes for Fed rate cuts.

💹Uncovered: Confused about tax slab changes? The new tax bill retains key slab structures, with the old and new tax regimes still in place. But tweaks in deductions and compliance rules could impact your take-home income.

🔓Lock-in Drama: A massive wave of IPO lock-in expiries is coming—₹6 billion worth of shares could flood the market in the next two months. With big names like Mama earth and Yatra at stake, will this spark a sell-off or a new buying spree?

🥇Gold Rush: Gold is shining bright, hitting new highs amid Trump’s tariffs, global uncertainties, and inflation fears. Should you buy, hold, or sell?

💰Earnings Shock

The third quarter of fiscal year 2025 has presented a mixed bag of earnings across various sectors, with notable performances in the pharmaceutical industry and challenges in the information technology (IT) and oil & gas sectors.

💊Natco Pharma: The company reported a significant decline in its Q3 FY25 results, with net profit decreasing by 37.75% year-over-year to ₹132.4 crore. This downturn is primarily attributed to a substantial drop in formulation exports, which fell to ₹285.8 crore from ₹605.6 crore in the same period last year.

🧪PI Industries: PI Industries experienced a 17% decline in profit after tax, amounting to ₹372.70 crore. Revenue remained flat at ₹1,900 crore. The company anticipates an improvement in Custom Synthesis Manufacturing (CSM) demand in the latter half of the calendar year 2025.

⚡Adani Power: The company reported a 5.4% decrease in its third-quarter core profit, primarily due to a sharp drop in power demand. Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) stood at ₹47.86 billion, with revenue from continuing operations falling by 3.4% to ₹126.92 billion.

💻General Performance: The IT sector displayed growth; however, certain challenges impacted margins and volume growth during the quarter. Specific company performances were not detailed in the available sources.

ONEZERO-F ACADEMY

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